Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?

ActiveBusiness
YES Price
0.5%
NO Price
99.5%
Volume
$30K
Liquidity
$7K
Resolution Date
January 29, 2026
Status
Active

Market Context

"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on January 29, 2026, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered."

Last updated: 2/3/2026, 12:17:35 PM